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  1. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    In addition to Japan having some of the world's...

    In addition to Japan having some of the world's best powder, they've been doing great diplomatic work. While the US has been busy with internal division these last years, Japan kept TPP moving, and...
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    Might be why the nordics keep suggesting we put...

    Might be why the nordics keep suggesting we put less black carbon and other dust in the atmosphere. Dirty snow reflects less. It also melts faster, leaving water and dirt that absorb more.

    The...
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    47,938

    This sounds like the sort of BS that your...

    This sounds like the sort of BS that your Representative's office claims to help with.
  4. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    NATO could declare a defensive war against Russia...

    NATO could declare a defensive war against Russia if they wanted to:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyaG64rGWoU
    ^ NATO doesn't want to shoot Russians, never has, and everyone knows it. (everyone...
  5. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Possibly a collective effort to temporarily...

    Possibly a collective effort to temporarily forget Ukrainians without light, heat, water, power, and internet. Who don't know when the next Russian missile arrives, and likely do know someone killed...
  6. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    yes they served French fries. Sadly the majority...

    yes they served French fries. Sadly the majority of Americans re-elected the imperialists.
  7. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Yes I think they ought to. Being human is a...

    Yes I think they ought to. Being human is a process, with both the short history of one's life so far, and the longer history of prior human culture we can learn from. Where the process is going,...
  8. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    The overriding concept may be that SA is...

    The overriding concept may be that SA is interfering in Yemen, whereas Russia invaded and annexed Ukraine. That doesn't make King Bonesaw an angel. I agree there was lots of support for killing...
  9. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    I do think we ought to better ourselves, in ways...

    I do think we ought to better ourselves, in ways that make things better for everyone.
  10. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    So, do these people just not reach full...

    So, do these people just not reach full development? They never learn to reason? I've heard one complain that "I always have an explanation." Whereas my complaint would be that they rarely seem to...
  11. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    I imagine some of us know someone like that, and...

    I imagine some of us know someone like that, and hope we can connect with them. It's hard to believe someone gets stuck in their lizard brain and allows fear to block reasoning. Also there's remote...
  12. As elite performers, maybe they should ask for...

    As elite performers, maybe they should ask for raises.

    And for those looking at unemployment - the severance is far more valuable to a software engineer. Unemployment pays peanuts compared to...
  13. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    That's very unlikely to happen. Neither side...

    That's very unlikely to happen. Neither side wants to fight. Probably for same reasons as during the Cold War. As I recall, there were many incidents back then and no war. Interfering with the gas...
  14. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Justin Bronk, analyst from RUSI, discusses the...

    Justin Bronk, analyst from RUSI, discusses the air war and Ukraine's air defense needs.
    Currently Russian air patrol mostly stays well away from UAF. Once (if) air defense fails, HIMARS becomes an...
  15. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    This hints at the story. People need to wake...

    This hints at the story.

    People need to wake up that Russia is a bad actor, has been a bad actor, and will continue to be a bad actor. It's long past time for consequences. Russia chose to fight...
  16. Huh. Greater certainty of care with less...

    Huh. Greater certainty of care with less lawyering? Can't have that.
  17. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    idk the nature of the occupier supply troubles....

    idk the nature of the occupier supply troubles. One concern I heard is they can't get enough fuel because the Kerch rail bridge is out. Retreating to the left bank does shorten the line, but the...
  18. Replies
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    5,839,912

    SB, the plural of anecdote... is not data....

    SB, the plural of anecdote... is not data. Related, there is no baby eating cabal. Nor a monster under your bed. Grow up.
  19. Replies
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    5,839,912

    The recent UCSF video made some brief comments on...

    The recent UCSF video made some brief comments on isolation. The docs seemed to think ten days was the minimum, and why not wait a few more days before we meet.

    There's a few studies where they...
  20. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Russia's plan isn't so much to invade Ukraine, as...

    Russia's plan isn't so much to invade Ukraine, as to divide the EU and civil society.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VJ59NeVfVgM
    Two notes. This is seven years old. There's also a part 1, that's...
  21. Replies
    40,799
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    5,839,912

    The money argument is valid in general. I haven't...

    The money argument is valid in general. I haven't read Oster's argument. Tradeoffs are always an issue, and we're always switching the trolley. We often don't analyze the tradeoffs, but they are...
  22. Replies
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    22,701

    Don't want to miss out on the annual mega heli....

    Don't want to miss out on the annual mega heli.
    How does one send paypal? maz @ paypal.com?
  23. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    I read a study several years ago comparing tariff...

    I read a study several years ago comparing tariff reductions to cost reductions in international cargo shipping. One of the factoids was that sea shipping between any two ports cost roughly the same...
  24. Replies
    40,799
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    5,839,912

    That's my understanding too. Add a few days or...

    That's my understanding too. Add a few days or keep NPIs or both, if you want to tip the statistics more in your favor. "CDC says I'm safe, but I'm doing this to be extra safe." One of the maggots...
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    I read some labor survey this morning that said...

    I read some labor survey this morning that said 5.6 million of us are out of work due to covid. So not a world-ender, but definitely detrimental. (Sorry can't find a link)
  26. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Russia's special brand of corruption has several...

    Russia's special brand of corruption has several advantages for funding reparations. Their oil industry recently produced $1B in revenue per day, and almost all the profit was siphoned off for...
  27. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Never. Russians had a longterm deal for the naval...

    Never. Russians had a longterm deal for the naval base and tore it up in 2014. They fucked themselves. They've indefinitely lost moorage rights in Ukraine.

    A $1T lien on the Russian oil industry...
  28. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    I see that. Russians need to do some serious work...

    I see that. Russians need to do some serious work to fix their governance. And they may need a defeat to get started. However, that requires a lot of killing and destruction, goes far beyond anyone's...
  29. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    And person who keeps crying about being shat on...

    And person who keeps crying about being shat on won't present an alternative course of action and consider the consequences of said course and argue honestly for it.

    I don't support the...
  30. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    If folks need a break from the latest Russian...

    If folks need a break from the latest Russian atrocity, here's a political philosophy interview discussing Russians, Putinism, how they got here, and how they might escape.
    ...
  31. Replies
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    First a couple more answers are needed. One -...

    First a couple more answers are needed. One - they are reporting effectiveness against hospitalization. Two - they are comparing effectiveness to the unvaccinated. Most of the unvaccinated have some...
  32. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    For Putin, it gets rid of minorities (Buryats,...

    For Putin, it gets rid of minorities (Buryats, annexed Ukrainians, etc) and other malcontents before they can start a resistance movement, terrorizes the same population, and keeps the door open for...
  33. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    You seem to understand the motivation of most...

    You seem to understand the motivation of most posters you disagree with. Putin decided to put your kids at risk without respectfully listening to our concerns. F him. A bunch of Russian leadership...
  34. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Has Vlad Vexler been posted here? Intellectual...

    Has Vlad Vexler been posted here? Intellectual political philosopher born in Russia discusses Putin, Russia, politics, etc. He's more energetic and informed than most youtubers.
    ...
  35. Replies
    22,512
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    2,316,634

    Osterholm update: Expect more Covid in coming...

    Osterholm update:
    Expect more Covid in coming months
    Get your boosters
    Always wear n95 in public (he's ok with well-spaced outdoor dining)
    Various variants showing immune evasiveness may reduce...
  36. Replies
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    1,693,285

    Is there a Winnie the Pooh thread? I'm hearing he...

    Is there a Winnie the Pooh thread? I'm hearing he won't tell us how much honey is in the honey pot.

    Surely that means less than 5% growth.
  37. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Hard to know what he's smoking. In the lever...

    Hard to know what he's smoking.

    In the lever category, could be he's looking specifically at the Starlink business. AIUI, Starlink works best at far northern latitudes. (It also works in far...
  38. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Good to see the Europeans are serious. As for...

    Good to see the Europeans are serious.

    As for using alternate satellites with Starlink terminals, I'm going to guess that's roughly impossible. Starlink probably has more satellites than everyone...
  39. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Since I posted on the bridge earlier... Seem to...

    Since I posted on the bridge earlier... Seem to be mixed stories about whether it's in use, or usable.

    Russia says the trains are running regular schedules. Others say the train bridge may be...
  40. Replies
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    25,484

    Lemme guess, triples down now.

    Lemme guess, triples down now.
  41. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Could happen. A strong wind might be enough. Wind...

    Could happen. A strong wind might be enough. Wind loads are part of structure design, b/c the wind is strong enough to break things. If they have any sense, they'll be inspecting often, and...
  42. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Every time I look at it, those concrete cracks...

    Every time I look at it, those concrete cracks look worse.

    Don't hold me to definitions either, I studied mechanical, maybe it's properly called elevation view really close up showing a span -...
  43. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Kerch bridge remaining traffic span has some...

    Kerch bridge remaining traffic span has some damage. That's exposed rebar under the watermark.
    https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1580307229650997249
    429746

    My guess is that damage needs...
  44. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Poor Russia, victimized by the existence of...

    Poor Russia, victimized by the existence of Ukraine.

    I agree they need a negotiated settlement. How far are Russian troops going to stay from the border? What arms are they allowed?How much...
  45. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    If you like modern Russian philosophy, maybe...

    If you like modern Russian philosophy, maybe you've followed Dugin. Check out Ivan Ilyn
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfduV68C1Jk
    It'll cost you 45 minutes for the lecture, 45 more if you watch...
  46. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Looks like they were ready for it. Suggesting...

    Looks like they were ready for it. Suggesting both that someone else detected it, and sent an alert to the folks who could intercept it. There's a sophisticated system we don't see. Almost has to be...
  47. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Thanks for sharing. NYT and US intelligence...

    Thanks for sharing.

    NYT and US intelligence aren't known for consistently accurate assessments. And a leak to NYT or WP, what is that? A game of misunderstanding and misinterpretation ala the...
  48. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Kamil Kazani thread on why Musk doesn't get it...

    Kamil Kazani thread on why Musk doesn't get it (and others) https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1579124072390463488.html. Tl,dr he's outsourced his protection in the way that a greenhouse flower...
  49. Replies
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    5,839,912

    Long Covid discussion from UCSF medical school....

    Long Covid discussion from UCSF medical school. tl,dr - They recommend not getting infected.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGAfCW6ytMc&ab_channel=UCSFDepartmentofMedicine
  50. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    11,236
    Views
    713,399

    Could be an accident. There's presumably a lot of...

    Could be an accident. There's presumably a lot of military materiel crossing the bridge, some of marginal quality. Also, Crimean farmers recently got their water turned on. A poor farmer trying to...
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