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  1. Replies
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    They post in as many as possible. Chinese trying...

    They post in as many as possible. Chinese trying to get clicks on their "study?"
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    From that poorly-translated Chinese study: "some...

    From that poorly-translated Chinese study: "some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak"

    Some. Might.

    From non-reading trolls: "it's proven!!!"

    FFS.
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    Damn. Two days in a row and today's isn't even...

    Damn. Two days in a row and today's isn't even contested. Truly, pointing out the logical consistency of someone else's viewpoint (and using a strawman to help!) and then trying to craft an insult to...
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    From the "I could have sworn it was here but now...

    From the "I could have sworn it was here but now I can't find it" file: there was a graphic posted last week showing average progression and magnitudes of various things. IMS it showed onset of...
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    Depends. Are you already infected?

    Depends. Are you already infected?
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    Go easy on the fear-talkers. Fear is a thing for...

    Go easy on the fear-talkers. Fear is a thing for them. Imagine how you'd feel if the only way you could put on a seatbelt or look before crossing railroad tracks was if you first worked up an...
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    Viva, have you seen evidence that would answer...

    Viva, have you seen evidence that would answer OG's question above? Can you post a link? Seems like everyone says this is more likely than not but seeing evidence of it would be really helpful....
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    Co-worker already tested positive. Incoming...

    Co-worker already tested positive. Incoming "Masks are worthless!!" from the false dichotomy crowd in 3...2...
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    Thanks for this. 10/10. Would visit backcountry...

    Thanks for this. 10/10. Would visit backcountry with this user.
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    I was thinking selection bias would matter, too,...

    I was thinking selection bias would matter, too, but that's really only an issue if you were trying to extrapolate to claim you knew what the spread is in the general population (see comments about...
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    Sorry for the continued drift, but it's possible...

    Sorry for the continued drift, but it's possible to make that stuff useful instead of hypothetical. The actual ratio of false positives to real would tell you how useful it would be to get the test...
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    I think you guys are confusing the conditions:...

    I think you guys are confusing the conditions: prior to testing a person the odds of a false positive are much smaller than they are among a population for which positive results are a given. 98% of...
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    At least 19 minutes of flow right there. May...

    At least 19 minutes of flow right there. May watch again.
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    Lots of former libertarians becoming...

    Lots of former libertarians becoming fascio-anarchists lately. A friend recently shared his personal view that since no one takes any responsibility for anything anyway it just doesn't matter...
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    People are still acting like travel from China...

    People are still acting like travel from China was banned in January but it wasn't. 450k people came from China in the 2 months following an apparently racially-biased ban on Chinese citizens (and...
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    New York got more thoroughly infected than many...

    New York got more thoroughly infected than many places. Did they make it to 600% infected? I didn't follow all your math, so I'm hoping you can fill in a couple of the holes for me.
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    I thought so but I had to check the search: page...

    I thought so but I had to check the search: page 485. Crazy.
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    In jgb math the only reason so many New Yorkers...

    In jgb math the only reason so many New Yorkers died was because 600% of them got the virus. He'll be checking in with RJ here shortly.
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    Good to know I'm not going crazy. I saw the same...

    Good to know I'm not going crazy. I saw the same in looking for stomach cancer articles, but I figured that might have been owed to a difference in prevalence. Feels like any day now someone will...
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    I agree with this statement. In particular I'm...

    I agree with this statement. In particular I'm not super pleased with two kinds of studies which seem to be typically soft in one way or another: studies of masks and Chinese "reports." Mask studies...
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    I was not intending to say that at all, sorry for...

    I was not intending to say that at all, sorry for the confused wording. I was simply saying that if people have a certain number of interactions and they take precautionary measures which are...
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    Their conclusion is not applicable to wearing a...

    Their conclusion is not applicable to wearing a mask in public. They looked at coughing at a distance of 20 cm, which is quite close. The difference between a bad mask and a good one is that a good...
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    Thank you! That was going to bug me all week....

    Thank you! That was going to bug me all week. Haven't seen the "drop in" sign for years now, but Lind seems most likely.
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    Wrong thread. You want "get drunk and post as...

    Wrong thread. You want "get drunk and post as much as you can." Or you could cite sources, of course, that would be fun.
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    Gotta agree. Same story here lately. I expect the...

    Gotta agree. Same story here lately. I expect the less impacted places will be thinking it can't happen here until it is halfway ramped up. Hopefully not before fall, but we're already rolling the...
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    The ash cloud made it around the world and...

    The ash cloud made it around the world and dropped more dust on the second time past. Not sure how much of the second lap it managed, though.

    There was a town near Ritzville (Kalotus?) that was...
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    Creepy I'll give you, but you do have to stop and...

    Creepy I'll give you, but you do have to stop and think for a second: if one claim with no corroboration can bring down that movement, how long could we really expect to wait for one claim?
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    Please proceed. I'm all ears and I'm 100% against...

    Please proceed. I'm all ears and I'm 100% against Trump. If you can tell me how to change my state's electoral votes I want to hear that.

    If you can't, though, just find me one undecided in...
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    Yup. Imagining that the lesser of two evils must...

    Yup. Imagining that the lesser of two evils must be good is a problem on both fronts: no credibility and no need for accountability as long as they're not worse than Shitler. The bar is too low.
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    If only. The EC still decides the winner. Benny's...

    If only. The EC still decides the winner. Benny's blue state vote doesn't count. There's no prize for winning the popular vote.
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    The odd thing about this claim is its inherent...

    The odd thing about this claim is its inherent reliance on personal experience bias. Not that the bias is unusual, but doesn't it seem dangerous as an atheist to stake an absolute claim which can be...
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    This "because" points to a different cause than...

    This "because" points to a different cause than the one you cited. Maybe you could show correlation? But even if you did, some level of correlation does not make one thing a dependant function of...
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    FIFY. There are plenty of theists and athiests...

    FIFY. There are plenty of theists and athiests with no light between them on this subject. Claiming otherwise says that you are more interested in a different subject and would like to oversimplify...
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    Might be better to ask what the actual definition...

    Might be better to ask what the actual definition of an "infectious dose" is in the first place. I found this article helpful:

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7090536/

    In...
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    Timely bump. I was just thinking how suddenly I'd...

    Timely bump. I was just thinking how suddenly I'd really like to get mtngrl's take on a couple things.

    Hey Core Shot, if you ever get enough coffee to bring out a female personality, would you...
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    Should have read the rest of the thread. Maybe...

    Should have read the rest of the thread. Maybe you get restless?
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    Hammer meet nail. You can tell who is scared by...

    Hammer meet nail. You can tell who is scared by who brings up fear in the first place. Some subcultures are reverting to the social structures of posturing pre-teens, taunting each other into games...
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    FIFY. These are the people who believe every...

    FIFY. These are the people who believe every nonsensical theory they see pushed by the surrogates of the Kremlin or the CCP without even realizing why. Remember all the fake accounts FB banned? They...
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    Ok that was hilarious. Well played, sir!

    Ok that was hilarious. Well played, sir!
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    I can't get the Slide Zone out of my head on this...

    I can't get the Slide Zone out of my head on this thing. Every fatality attracts the MMQB and the litany of (often meaningless) differences between any one commenter and the victim. It's been noted...
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    I've been redacting a few posts lately but I'm...

    I've been redacting a few posts lately but I'm sure you'll know what I mean if I say: this is TGR and she's female, so....apply stereotype and you won't be wrong. We're in the early stages of...
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    The social waters suck. Jokes are definitely...

    The social waters suck. Jokes are definitely easier. I don't know how helpful this will be, but I'll throw in some common experiences, maybe there's a nugget in here someplace.

    I'm also high risk...
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    +1. NTTAWWT. People are coming out of a lot...

    +1. NTTAWWT.

    People are coming out of a lot of different closets nowadays.
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    I hope your wife is feeling better, that sounds...

    I hope your wife is feeling better, that sounds scary as hell.

    Without pointing any fingers at any particular pollyasshats, the stress of not knowing what to do and not having clear direction is...
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    It looks like Darwin would predict but in reality...

    It looks like Darwin would predict but in reality it's sadder and faster-acting than genetics: education is just not valued and hasn't been for just a little too long. Maybe one or two generations is...
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    I also feel better already. Bout damn time...

    I also feel better already. Bout damn time someone stepped out against the bleeding leads burying the real good stuff and who better than David Byrne? Thank you for posting.
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    Thanks, that's good to know. Sounds much more...

    Thanks, that's good to know. Sounds much more like what I would have expected.

    Congrats on getting better, hopefully you've got the right antibodies now!
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    Bone saws...Dr. Day eventually quit over it...

    Bone saws...Dr. Day eventually quit over it (allegedly?). In the late 80's she spoke at my high school and stated that it was impossible to breathe through any mask that would stop the AIDS virus....
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    That's the minimum infectious dose settling in. ...

    That's the minimum infectious dose settling in.

    Summit posting that guy's face raised infectiousness. Then I realized most of my family was equally susceptible. Whatever R0 is, I don't think it...
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    Looks like this: Dr. Astley's work...

    Looks like this:



    Dr. Astley's work spreading with a doubling rate of about 8 hours. No word on R0.
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