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Type: Posts; User: 4matic

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  1. Replies
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    Binance was founded by Changpeng Zhao, a...

    Binance was founded by Changpeng Zhao, a developer who had previously created high frequency trading software. Binance was initially based in China, but later moved its headquarters out of China...
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    BTC probably survive but there has to be a lot...

    BTC probably survive but there has to be a lot more Lunaís out there. That isnít just over either. Where did the reserves go?
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    What? Proceeds of an ipo used to go to...

    What? Proceeds of an ipo used to go to companies. Now most are late stage unless itís a SPAC or something. Thereís not much expansive growth left
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    More often than not now public listing is so...

    More often than not now public listing is so private capital can cash out. Not to fund growth.
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    Peter Brandt bought at $27k. Heís been calling...

    Peter Brandt bought at $27k. Heís been calling that number for months.
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    I hate and donít get the correlation to crypto. ...

    I hate and donít get the correlation to crypto. I suppose it weakens a key demographic spending power.
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    T is up on the year. Up today. Pays a 5% fully...

    T is up on the year. Up today. Pays a 5% fully covered dividend and spin-off the controversial and debt burdened Warner Media. Plus, they are thinking about raising prices for cell plans.
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    It was said that one failure was not indicative...

    It was said that one failure was not indicative of other failures. It can domino. That was the point
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    With so many retail investors getting hurt...

    With so many retail investors getting hurt institutions wonít touch crypto now. CFOís never invested assets in it anyway. I wouldnít be surprised if Fidelity backs away.
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    In 2008 major banks went to zero in days. 460...

    In 2008 major banks went to zero in days. 460 banks failed
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    The entire value of all Stable Coins is $175b. ...

    The entire value of all Stable Coins is $175b. The stock market has lost trillions in value so not that big a macro deal if they collapse.
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    Iím a bear on most things. Income investor.

    Iím a bear on most things. Income investor.
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    Whatís pompous about my post? Never said dead. ...

    Whatís pompous about my post? Never said dead. Fwiw, the chart now, to me, looks like we go back to March 2020. Maybe the previous high at $20k. I suppose you could use fib numbers or moving...
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    Terra reminds me of the LTCM collapse in 1998. ...

    Terra reminds me of the LTCM collapse in 1998. It was a math based options system (Black-Scholes) that got unraveled.
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    I donít know much about it but thatís a big dent even in the long term chart.

    Yellen was pretty serious about this in her testimony. I guess Iím glad she cares about people losing money but...
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    Lol.. donít ask. I own a CEF with commercial...

    Lol.. donít ask. I own a CEF with commercial paper and it got hammered today. Related?
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    Tether cracking?

    Tether cracking?
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Fortunately there is little regulation and no deposit insurance so there will be no taxpayer bailout.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Maybe. T was up today. IBM too. Dow only down 1%. A credit event might happen but treasury yields can move lower and dividend stocks can get bid.
    Even IWM way outperformed QQQ today. Yield in...
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    MSTR not too far from pre-btc price.

    MSTR not too far from pre-btc price.
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Zero. You might see a coin bro get arrested
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    COIN misses target by 30% and guides lower? How...

    COIN misses target by 30% and guides lower? How do you value it?
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    Margin assets not covered by SIPC?

    Margin assets not covered by SIPC?
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    The Kwon fella is not going down with the ship. Itís good to blow up all this derivative crap isnít it?
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Yellen was talking about that yesterday and itís what Gensler talks about. Trading against customers.

    I watched the Griffen interview. He is warm to the idea but again, stewardship has to be...
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Was just thinking that youíd have some warning and time to get out but it can happen quick.

    The Wall Street pump on COIN was almost all time. Right now itís 17 buys and two sells.
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    Latest Coinbase filing. Pretty low risk anyone...

    Latest Coinbase filing. Pretty low risk anyone would be in there before a BK.

    415939
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    Like buying NFLX at $700. Itís the context of...

    Like buying NFLX at $700. Itís the context of past performance is no guarantee. Should never really look at that as a metric. Thereís only what you own now.
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    If BTC falls to where the trailing return equals...

    If BTC falls to where the trailing return equals AMZN itís still been a great investment. Right?

    Bitcoin $BTC: +994,608%
    Tesla $TSLA: +15,200%
    NVIDIA $NVDA: +6,053%
    Netflix $NFLX: +2,337%...
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    With regard to the Luna UST crash. ďThere is...

    With regard to the Luna UST crash. ďThere is never one cockroachĒ.

    Also, COIN misses revenue by 30% and blames volatility? Thatís just making stuff up.
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    They have earnings. My mistake. Net income: ...

    They have earnings. My mistake.
    Net income: (535.48M) loss
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    What would you expect him to say? I was wrong? ...

    What would you expect him to say? I was wrong? Heís the Putin of pump.

    MSTR will be a stock with no earnings and massive liabilities but it will have BTC
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    Coin stocks hammered again

    Coin stocks hammered again
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Because itís wreck able


    https://youtu.be/oDD1tW59Mjg
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    Thatís all true but itís the notchy fast moves in...

    Thatís all true but itís the notchy fast moves in yield lately. Perhaps because yields ave exceeded the expectation of hedges.
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    Maybe thatís why stocks are getting hit. Crypto...

    Maybe thatís why stocks are getting hit. Crypto businesses seeking liquidity. Sell what you can
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    The U.S. government is continuing to cast...

    The U.S. government is continuing to cast stablecoins as a potential threat to the stability of the financial system, with both the Federal Reserve and a senior Treasury official saying Monday the...
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Been saying the Bond Market is broken. Not acting right. Iím not alone. Sorry canít legally cut and paste. Just search Fed liquidity


    Fed sites liquidity risks:
    ...
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    Even if you had a spot etf there would be options...

    Even if you had a spot etf there would be options and probably an inverse etf also with options.

    Iím sure there are structural reasons of settlement and stewardship preventing a spot etf. A...
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    Like gold, there is no scarcity because supply...

    Like gold, there is no scarcity because supply has been exponentially multiplied with derivatives
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    BTC has performed well since March 2020. A lot...

    BTC has performed well since March 2020. A lot better than other ďinnovations.Ē I donít see why it isnít at risk to test those levels.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Yes. TSLA would rally. TWTR $7 below the buyout price now
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    A close below 2.90% on the 5y this week will be a...

    A close below 2.90% on the 5y this week will be a reversal on the weekly chart. Almost a 20bps range today.
  44. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
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    Ukraine

    Where could Putin exile? Iran? PRK?
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    Itís not that bad. Not even a 52 week low.

    Itís not that bad. Not even a 52 week low.
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    Peter Thiel? Heís a lot like Musk. I doubt...

    Peter Thiel? Heís a lot like Musk. I doubt current admin cares to do business with him.

    ďThe company, known for its work with the U.S. Army and the Central Intelligence Agency, said it still...
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    I do for a lot of reasons. Primarily now is that...

    I do for a lot of reasons. Primarily now is that large investors arenít going to risk having leadership in the middle of political and social opinion.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Checking and savings accounts are a service. At my Credit Union I can get a much higher rate but Iím required to use their payment service with some other incentives. Just have a money market...
  49. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
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    With that in mind a path for Russia to sell...

    With that in mind a path for Russia to sell energy post sanctions could be a repayment bill.
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    Problem for ARKK now is TSLA. It can still...

    Problem for ARKK now is TSLA. It can still really get hit.
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