Been a rough few days
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Been a rough few days
I think bond bulls are quite pleased.Quote:
Originally Posted by boltonoutlaw
VIX touched 29. I sold volatility
Around same time I sold some VOO. Oddly from about that moment MO has been gaining.Quote:
Originally Posted by LeeLau
The dollar tanking v yen currently as well
As I’ve said before. It always starts with currency. Up or down.Quote:
Originally Posted by boltonoutlaw
Can vol work exponentially? Like the same move down on Monday could cause VIX to rise 20% or something.Quote:
Originally Posted by LeeLau
How much does rate vol affect equity vol?
If INTC continues lower does it become a takeover merger candidate? AAPL could own more of their chain.
Annualized Pre pandemic SP500 3100 high at 10% is around 4500.
Previous declines public has been buyer. Fund flows this weekend will be interesting.
Wil NakedShorts FINALLY be redeemed??
:D
And it's not looking like it wants to get better soon.Quote:
Originally Posted by boltonoutlaw
The pandemic rebound & inflation call was easy. This one is harder: mid-cycle slowdown headfake or the real deal? Inquiring minds want to know, somebody get Jay Powell on the phone
Not a macro call on my part. I played a gut and sold VIX 30C Aug 6 exp. Just aiming to make enough for dumpster bikesQuote:
Originally Posted by 4matic
So over due.
Tomorrow?
the sun will come up as planned...
fact.
Nikkei is down more than 12% today and 23% in a month.
It's now back down to 1989 levels. Japan spent 35 years clawing their way back from the 1990 crash only to crash again a few months later.
Surely US markets will be a bloodbath on Monday, no?
SELL THE DIP!!!!
Carry trade unwinding in a hurry.
Vix, quoted at 38 pre mkt. I have a gtc in at 100. Feelin like 2001.
Gonna need it with this blood bath on my sheets.
Ugly ugly day incoming- guessing we’ll end up 5+% down.
:explosive:
Went to 75% cash back on May 1 and been kicking myself since. Until Friday.
See where it goes from here.
Yo wtf
3% daily move in big picture is nothing. I bought BXMT and have an open order for PAXS. PLTR in the low 20’s is interesting
Vix at 40 is a historical sell/mkt buy. trying to unload a little but vanguard is down. I’m not selling it all because we gapped and I think there is enough risk on in the wrong places to be a catalyst to a liquidity/capitulation event.
Wish me luck.
funny:
"Due to a technical issue, some clients may have difficulty logging in to Schwab platforms and may have difficulty reaching us by phone. Please accept our apologies as our teams work to resolve the issue as quickly as possible."
Seems like a MAJOR fail. Guess I will not be doing any buying today.
We're still not down to the May 1st level. You know what they say about timing the market... :DQuote:
Originally Posted by Bunion 2020
That's really all we can do. :DQuote:
See where it goes from here.
I say oct 2023 low. Or, that’s my prediction. I’m not buying a fucking thing before.
What's driving the Nikkei into the red? I've seen the Yen getting hammered this past year. But honestly haven't been paying much attention. Does that mean I should go hit up Hokkaido next January?Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevo
yen depreciation is already driving a hudge tourism increase. If you do go, pick tohoku over hokkiado to avoid the crowds of aussies and chinese.
Vanguard went down too. Conspiracy? or just high volume crashing sites?Quote:
Originally Posted by 406
You selling more of it? Midas whale right?Quote:
Originally Posted by LeeLau
thought the same thing.Quote:
Originally Posted by skaredshtles
Saw everyone posting about bloodbaths and recession and whatnot. From one bad jobs report? WTF? And then I went to look and the DOW/S&P/NASDAQ are all down between 2-3%, which is obviously not good but hardly a market crash. Goddam are people overreacting or am I missing something?
people are cattle and it don’t take much ta get teh herd ta stampede…
Quote:
Originally Posted by 406
Quote:
Originally Posted by Name Redacted
https://www.washingtonpost.com/busin...-trading-down/
Dont know how accurate.Quote:
Originally Posted by Toadman
Attachment 497573
If you ask a Republican they'll tell you we have been in a recession since the day Biden took office. Sorry. (PollyAsshat. My bad)Quote:
Originally Posted by Danno
But yeah, the fed is about ready to start dropping rates, that should help boost some stocks I would think. But really, do people think this shit will really last forever?
Fed fears inflation more than recession. They are out of bullets.