Deflation is still the risk longer term. Now more than ever.
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Deflation is still the risk longer term. Now more than ever.
Now more than ever because prices just jumped so much? What's the argument for reversal?Quote:
Originally Posted by 4matic
If you are economically illiterate like you, yes it is.Quote:
Originally Posted by Cono Este
Private equity bidding up sports team prices is another sign of excess. I still don’t see how so many people “afford” season tickets.
There is a real defense of $40K DOW going on. As soon as the average joes panic Next stop 35K
We were heading back to trend growth per the Fed. Now throw a wrench in that. GDP now pointing negative. Demographics of asset ownership deteriorating.Quote:
Originally Posted by jono
The Fed fought deflation for more than a decade. That trend is coming back.
Have to wonder if this is enough to get the passive eod fund holders to sell.
That’s part of what happened eighty seven Fund Companies came into Monday with huge redemption orders.
Listen - countries like Myanmar and Laos and Cote D’ivoire have been living lives of luxury and just coasting off the sales of XXL t-shirts made in their sweatshops - basically off of America’s good will.Quote:
Originally Posted by J. Barron DeJong
The gravy train ends today. It’s time they start buying Doge Ram dualie trucks and bottles of Jack Daniels.
Larry, Curly and Moe
How is it your the ones balls long trump and I’m the one who hedged? lol. Can’t make this up.
Next time, I’ll just pm a power of attorney and push the sell button for you, cause you’re that fucking stupid.
Tsla holding firm, lol.
What a great day.
Because I am not a trader you fucking tool.
But good thing you shorted the market based on the guy you support fucking the whole world up.
This is exactly what cono voted for. The fascist economy.
Fuck you man, I could play games in here based on the personal shit, but I don’t. I’ve shared the best info I get, and I’m not joking when I say I’ve been offered jobs just for that guys email address and phone number. So that everyone can do just a little bit better. And I’ve done that for a decade,
Like my politics or not, I don’t take shit personally, and I never fuck around when it comes to other people’s wallets.
Unlike the dopes spreading their personal angst in here.
Yeah I know right? Fuck the poor people and those poor countries - they deserve this even though it makes literally zero fucking sense. Lesotho? You probably grew up there too but fuck em. They should buy more US made goods with their wealth. Freeloaders.Quote:
Originally Posted by Cono Este
Let’s tear everything down, get that money, and buy sprinter vans.
And if the US can help prop up Belarus and North Korea at the same time well it’s win-win.
Nah man, a big fuck you! Please take it really fucking personally, because the guy you support is making America and the world poorer through his fucking ignorance even if you somehow manage to profit off this in the long term.
In the mean time we’ll let private equity hang their losses on the sports teams they overpaid for.
Saw a thing where they basically paid up to two billion more than value just to get access to the treatment of losses.
I also appreciate Conos suggestion that we should not talk about what is tanking the stock market in the -is the stock market going to tank?- thread.
Granted, never before has a president ever directly tanked the stock market before, but here we are.
trade the mkt, not the bullshit.
I think that NakedShorts might finally be vindicated! Because I think, at a minimum, we can consider this a pretty good tanking.
:fmicon:
The average annual decline in SPY is fourteen percent. Nothing unusual so far.
I want 30k. I made that decision long ago, long ago. But I fucked it up the last time, so I’m willing to come up a bit.
One are deviation from high pls.
Young couch surfers, get your cash together, once in 5 yr opportunity, maybe. J baron, your sister keeps her cash in her sock drawer.
I'm up 40% on my SPY puts that I bought this morning for a whopping $400 profit. Too bad about everything else that I left long
Hey Cono, I live in my own house in Tahoe, with my wife and kids.
My sister lives in her own house, with her husband and their kids. They also own a nice cottage on a lake.
If you were not such a fuckup maybe you would live in a nice place with your wife and kids instead of in - what is it, Missouri? - by yourself, seling insurance.
Awesome. You’re right, I should have stayed in Carnelian Bay and either been a selfish dead beat dad, or force my ex to stay there, work in Reno. Not.
Next week my d 1 pitcher son turns 21 and my daughter will celebrate hers in Ibiza on the semester at sea stop.
Couldn’t be prouder.
civilcoconut - IMO this doesn't count as a black swan yet. We are, however, on the early part of this gongshow. Am still long VIX calls pending retaliatory tariffs
So you moved to keep your ex-wife happy? Seems to have worked out well.
Anyway, I sleep in a big bed with my wife (who was a D1 athlete and has a Ph.D.). Neither of us are suffering here.
Why is the VIX so low in these conditions? I have my own reasons but just wondering what the VIX traders think. I do think VIX is vulnerable to a sizable up move
Who ever called the modern liberal an elitists asshole, was thinking about j baron.
Family shithead, you put family first. wtf don’t you understand about that?
4 matic
1. As a % we don’t have the same swings we had at 5000, that we had at 1200. For someone obvious, and less obvious reasons. 2. Liquidity has increased 3. And like I explained earlier, assuming the MM’s are long vol, and staying neutral, they act as a vol reducer by buying into all the sell offs, and selling I to rally’s. Professionals are generally delta neutral, when I was long vol I’d be buying a 1000, or 10,000 shares, depending on size, every 1/4 all the way down. We fired guys who did not trade delta neutral. Other firms, were stricter, others looser, but generally went home flat.
Need an expiration.
J.blow hard
You made me think
1. I’m a lot closer to you than you think. I bet half your community knows me personally.
2. The reason I stayed, was because one of the finest men/skiers in here, most powerful too, came to my aid when it went down. He hooked me up with an ex mo, Supreme Court judge, told me “ they knocked you down, but the fight is 8 rounds, fight for your kids, don’t leave. “
I cannot thank that mag enough. Thanks again K.S.
WTI getting closer to that five handle.
Futures breaking the defended 40K
Annnnnd we’re below forty thousand. Winning!
And, of course, no mention of the market chaos on Fox News.
I like 4100-4700 in SP.
It’s seriously been 15 yrs since we’ve seen a complete mkt cycle. There is an entire generation of advisors and investors that not seen a bad yr in their lives.
Below 4100 is capitulation.
Ok. Dumped my VIX calls. Maybe buy more TSLQ
Further actions that can be taken to really really own the woke mind parasite
- Fire JPow
- Default on US debt
- Devalue the USD
- Replace USD with TRUMPcoin
- Replace USD with Gamestonk shares [emoji573] [emoji573][emoji573]
- Offshore all US manufacturing to Svalbard and Jan Mayen thus avoiding all China tariffs
- sign an executive order prohibiting retaliatory tariffs
- establish Ivermectin factories to employ all the people who've blown up their savings who have to go back to work
.
Any other good ideas? Post them up!!!
General Lee, of the first Canadien stock jockeys, check your pm box for power of attorney paper work.
I can't even look at my account out of morbid curiosity.
Meanwhile, our Traitor-in-Chief has been golfing. Quite the national emergency.
I certainly do not know anything compared to many of the guys commenting here. However, I do read a lot and the general consensus today seems to be these tariffs cannot hold. How long they do and how far off the market falls is the million dollar question. Seems like many people are thinking 4,500 on the S&P, so perhaps I will start going back in a little bit at that number, if nothing else changes down the road.
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