What say all about rfk's proposal in home ownership?
Something about uncle sam being a cosigner? Epic dumpster fire most likely.
"You will own nothing"
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What say all about rfk's proposal in home ownership?
Something about uncle sam being a cosigner? Epic dumpster fire most likely.
"You will own nothing"
RFK is a total clown, so that's the kind of stuff I'd expect. No one should take proposals offered by clowns seriously.
IMO pent up demand for moving and new household formation will drive things for a while until the low population growth starts to manifest. At least in my area, people are still building like crazy and others can't get enough of expensive remodels.
2 houses just went on the market on my street (like 15 houses total). One of them is by far the fanciest, and the other is probably second place. The first was on the market a year or so ago for over double what the last house on the street sold for, then it disappeared. Now it's back on for that same price. Someone might just pay $1.6M to live next door to a guy with like 10 broken antique tractors next door and my junk show down the street. People are loony.
RFK is a Socialist. Or is it a Communist. No, I'm pretty sure that RFK is a Marxist. We already have enough gov't involvement in the housing market.
But there definitely is a need for more housing. With all those millions of not legal immigrants coming across the border, they will need roofs over their heads too.
Unfortunately, the majority of housing being built is high end, high dollar product.
NYT gift link--article on big rental companies scooping up SFH and renting them in places that were historically owner-occupied.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...smid=url-share
No one wants to move these days. I have a former co-worker who took a job in the mid-west. Sold a home with a 3% mortgage and bought one with a 6.7% rate. Ouch. (I believe his new employer provided some moving funds that included some cash to help with the RE fee to sell his home.)
Quote:
According to Redfin, 91.8% of US homeowners with a mortgage have an interest rate below 6%; 82.4% have a rate under 5%; and 62% have a rate below 4%. That’s far below last week's rate of 7.18% and a good reason to avoid selling a home and lose a much more attractive rate.
Well the back-to-office people will have to balance the rate vs a new job. Or they'll rent a new place and rent out the old.
Anyone who doesn't face that quandary is gonna sell.
That stat posted a page or two back: wages vs cost of major purchases over the last 20yrs is the main issue
No one wants inflation unless it’s their salary
RE market is going to continue to be a seller’s market because money is expensive and people can’t afford to find the next place even when the interest rates relax
Those with equity, and those without.
Interesting. Weird market indeed. FWIW, the home we were considering just went under contract, BUT with a lowball cash offer after sitting on the market for months. Lots of homes sitting with recent price drops. The higher end is completely tapped out and isn't budging. Big price drops on those. Seller of that home (relative of ours - estate sale kind of deal) said that she was in the agent's office this week and overheard a panicked co-worker complaining that TWELVE deals (in a not large market btw) have fallen through this week alone due to financing falling apart at the final hour. More deals there are crumbling than going through. That's not a good sign.
However, this makes me happy if things crash because these market do NOT reflect local wages and hasn't for years. Buncha Bay Area tech ex-pats continuing to screw everybody over with their WFH jobs. A solid correction is massively overdue. I'm truly hoping we're seeing the first pieces of this house of cards start to fall. I don't GAF if our own house halves in value if it means EVERYTHING gets adjusted to what it should be. Fingers crossed!
[not holding my breath tho cuz I've been holding out for a crash for years now and nothing seems to change]
Why would 2nd home STRs reflect local wages. Look around. The mountain town dirt pimps have been selling insanely priced houses based on the dream of easy passive income.
Price doesn't matter if the basic pitch is that the house pays for itself, generates some extra cash flow and appreciates faster than Tesla stock. The STR market was the best thing in decades to come along for realtors and the towns run for the benefit of dirt pimps reflect this.
Inventory for the people who want to buy homes. We haven't built enough homes for 15 years and there is a massive shortage across most areas of the country. That's why real estate is expensive, supply and demand 101. Right now the real estate market looks like the toilet paper aisle in March of 2020 (although that was a demand side shortage, not a supply side one).
The .1%ers aren't afraid of real estate right now, that's for sure. In the past couple of weeks a home sold for $10M (the first one ever at 10+), and another at 8.55. Those numbers might be an everyday occurrence in Aspen, but they're unheard of in Crested Butte.
The Franger buying a sub $1M ST rental with a loan though? They're still looking but they're scared. If there is even one thing slightly off they're out (not that there is much to look at anyway)
This is certainly true overall, BUT for the first time in a long time, I've been seeing some listings of unfinished new builds and extensive remodels. I believe the costs of construction may have outpaced the builders' original budgets, they've gone broke, and banks ain't lending out spec cash so easily anymore. I'm seeing them listed for good prices and they aren't budging. That has to mean something, right? Been following a listing nearby for a unfinished BIG home in a nice area. About 9000 sq ft on 2 acres. This should easily be 1.5-2 million dollar home given the market these last few years. It really only seems to wall texture (it's been rocked) and trim/finish work. It's mostly completed. Saw it listed for nearly 900K. Didn't budge. Dropped to 550K. Didn't budge. Just dropped to 249K and is finally under contract. I also caught wind of an entire brand new subdivision (more middle of the road prices) that is also unfinished and developer's trying to dump ASAP. Wife knows of one of the homeowners there and lady is not stoked that she just bought last Spring and now they're offering the homes for over a 100K less than what she paid. Seems to be a bit of a fire sale going on. Also a nice part of town. Hmmm......
I have 3 multi-million dollar homes going up within 2 blocks of me. Those with money have no issues. I'm guessing these are Cali. transplants. I've met our future neighbors but don't know their background. But they dropped some serious coin for the lot, and are bldg a mini-McMansion.
But living here in Bend, the 7 figure housing market seems to still be chugging along. Certainly not like during COVID but it is still alive and kicking.
The billionaire tech bros? No. But the more run of the mill software engineers, absofreakinglutely. CA license plates are in abundance here and I can't tell you HOW many people I've met (often parents at my kids school or newcomers at the neighborhood pool) who have told me they're software who have recently come from CA. So yeah, they have definitely migrated to all over the country. I mean, look what happened to Boise!
I'm hearing that San Francisco office rentals are increasing, which HOPEFULLY is a sign that companies are calling their chickens back home. That would be rad for the rest of the country. Time for this RE idiocy to (hopefully) finally come to a stop.
4-5 years ago, there were three, maybe four bars with hand crafted cocktails over $12 and when you went out, you would always see folks you know in flips flops and t-shirts. Now, you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a a $20+ cocktail menu and all the people we don't know sure dress fancy. I think you and tucky are both right.
Yeah, Boise loves to promote that young techie story.....but the average transplant to the treasure valley had, in fact, nothing to do with tech.
Nearly two thirds are blue state refugees looking for lower cost of living retirement in a red, red state. Most identify as Republicans. Same thing here on the east side. Seems like for every remote worker there's a dozen retirees.
The funny thing about this place is its whiplash change in character. The new people don't actually do much outdoor stuff that people here used to do. For most of them, the biggest outdoor activity they've done lately was standing in line for a table at King Sushi. It's like a spoiled kid who has all the best toys but mostly just watches TV.
Neck, gets it. I wonder if Grand County is unique in Colorado having 3 Republican County Commissioners and a major ski resort?
Real Estate isn't a commodity product. The unprecedented wealth inequality is pricing out more and more people in more and more places.
Even even remotely desirable locations, the bid is high simply because it is desirable no more no less.
Sent from my Turbo 850 Flatbrimed Highhorse
Probably.
Summit doesn't elect new commissioners. Old ones resign resign and new ones are appointed by the local Democratic party. Then they are incumbents when they run and they don't have to face a primary which is the only election that matters in this deep blue county.