Mach 2.5 is faster than all but a couple aircraft (sr71/a12, mig-25, mig-31) none of which Ukraine operate currently
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I get the sense that he's just running the data through filters to quiet down the background noise and turning that into magnitude from each sensor. Sounds like he's developed some transformations in Excel that are mostly informed by previous events. Which leaves a lot of latitude for what's being used to draw conclusions: is "sharpness" more important than magnitude in his analysis? Who knows?
Fascinating stuff, though--maybe even more if it's an elaborate counterintelligence scheme.
What's the downside of the EU banning travel visas for Russians? Hurts EU more than Russia?
NAFO seems to be dominating the trolls for some reason, so I have to come here to ask. TIA
A big upside has to do with the fact for each Russian soldier from Moscow that is killed in Ukraine there are: 87 from Dagestan, 275 from Buryatia, 350 from Tuva. Just as the attack in Crimea brought the war home for Russian vacationing elites, a travel ban would do the same and therefore bring pressure on the Kremlin to end the war sooner.
It seems like there are two big downsides. Russia is experiencing a brain drain as skilled workers flee the country. A travel ban could stop that from happening. Because about half of all Ukrainian refugees have since returned, Russia has seen roughly the same number of people flee the country due to the invasion as Ukraine.
The other downside is not allowing Russian reporters to travel could prevent foreign points of view from being told, further strengthening the regimes domestic propaganda efforts.
But these are white refugees
I hope those folks in Ukraine and Poland have plenty of potassium iodide..
I assumed he was serious as a heart attack.
There's a lot of speculation that if the Kremlin loses the war it will lead to the breakup of Russia, — or, as, I prefer to name it, North Kazakhstan. Although the country is so poor outside of Moscow & Saint Petersburg and Putin so adept at dolling out funds in exchange for loyalty that such a scenario seems unlikely.
Most Russians are neither for or against the war just as most Russians are neither for or against the government. That's why Russia is only capable of recruiting the poorest of the poor to serve in the military. It's only when the war affects most Russians directly in the form of job losses or family life or their closest friends that any sort of real government resistance will start to happen.
^^^ the EU should guarantee their safety and that they will be housed outside of Ukraine if they surrender. Put them up in quasi luxurious accommodations (by POW standards) and broadcast that as far as possible.
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