http://unofficialnetworks.com/2017/0...ion-from-noaa/
Possibly an EL Nino year....? If I read that correct...
Printable View
http://unofficialnetworks.com/2017/0...ion-from-noaa/
Possibly an EL Nino year....? If I read that correct...
"ENSO-Neutral is favored (50 to ~55% chance) into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18." -NOAA's prediction this month
so, normal winter hedging to maybe weak el nino
(it's still pretty early, tho)
That's what I was thinking...too early to make statements. I'm way too stoked for BBI18 to think of a shit snow year lol
My roofer said the Farmers Almanac has CA down for a wet winter. Ya, right.
so it's a 50% chance of being 100% wrong or right?
I like those odds
I bet after 1000 years of advancement in science, meteorologists still wont be able to predict long term
All I hope is that the "Blob" doesnt return this fall.
Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
August update, as of today
ENSO Alert System Status: Not Active
ENSO-Neutral conditions are present. Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-average across most of the Pacific Ocean. ENSO-Neutral is favored (~85% chance during Jul-Sep, decreasing to ~55% during Dec-Feb) through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18.
La Nina potentially on tap. I personally like Cliff:
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/0...s-weather.html
The latest prediction from NOAA. Mild La Niña on tap....maybe.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.beab7f75bc93
https://www.usatoday.com/story/weath...kes/779886001/
Straight from NOAA: Oct. 12, 2017: La Niña conditions are favored (~55-65%) during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18
Future updates available via this link: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...enso_advisory/
thx steve!
another El Nino yeasr, gonna be a good time to ride the surf!
No
NOAA issued its fall ENSO forecast. Good news for wildfire stricken california and colorado. For everyone else....not so much.
El Nino watch in effect.
50-55% chance of El Nino onset for fall period, sept-nov.
Chance increases to 70% for winter period, dec-feb.
After what T’ride and Taos had to endure last year it only seems fair
One of the local car dealerships is running an add claiming a “strong El Niño with record snow fall for Colorado”. Of course they are also having a “sale” on awd vehicles. I don’t know where they get their weather data from but I hope they are right. Of course no one really has any clue what will happen in any given area.
I’m calling for above average snowfall in the PNW, because I’m moving there in November. Strong or weak El Niño, La Niña, doesn’t matter. Gonna be a good winter.
Dry drought years still mean 400" for PNW and UT. So it is really everyone else who has to do the weather worrying every year.
So maybe good news for Mammoth and Tahoe this season?
There is ~60% chance of El Niño in the Northern Hemisphere fall 2018
(September-November), increasing to ~70% during winter 2018-19.Attachment 247545
LCC, UT is "above average" with the average being 500". I like the sound of that :-)