Iran not only violated the plan, but the critical components of the plan would have sunset this year anyway.

CAgrown: Why didn't the USSR give a nuke to any of their many of their communist fronts? Because they would assume it might be used and attributed...

CAgrown: Iran has some options, none of them good, but many of them less self-destructive than trying to close Hormuz. It depends if they want to...

TNO: I covered no testing situation, if Iran or Russia just declare Russia gave a nuke, then they have revealed it came from Russia. The reason you...

You missed the point. If Russia is crazy enough to say "we are going to give nukes to Iran" we'd say "if they are used we'll nuke you" and/or blow...

Do you think Russia trusts Iran with nukes? I don't. Not at all. And even if they kinda sorta wanted to, it isn't in Russia's interest. Let's see why...

The world has ample tools to crush an Iranian attempt to close Hormuz. But imagine if Iran had nukes and decided to close Hormuz, and threatened...

^3 hours ago I posted: "While Iran's legislature approved a measure to close Hormuz, they have no real power. It requires the Supreme Leader's...

Sure, I bet there are methods to somewhat determine the condition of Fordo with on the ground intelligence, maybe even ISR assets. We'll never get to...

I do not think we are gonna be able to have absolute certainty as to what happened inside Fordo from open source information short of the edge case...

No radiation per IAEA is ambiguous in terms of BDA. Again, UF6 is heavy and highly reactive with any water which yields UO2F2 which is super soluble...

The assessment is that they were a week or weeks away from a nuclear weapon. How much present edging do you need? Clinton's Operation Infinite...

Extremely good read on Iran's retaliatory options. Basically, they are limited, and the most likely ones will be proxy attacks in Iraq and via the...

Jono: What in the world does clear but not present mean? Are you saying they have to test a nuke and then threaten to use one? I don't think you'd...

jono: I get your point, but I ask again how this was different Biden's or Trump's or Obama's drone strikes? Trump's cruise missile attacks in...

Bunion: I've studied war more than most people who haven't been in it. It's horrible and to be avoided. Peace is prosperity. But peace at any price...

14 MOPs and 60 TLAMs - per CJCS BDA still pending. That is the big big big question... IAEA, the UN agency who declared Iran's program was no longer...

Oh I think the religious psychos are scary no matter what faith they follow, Christianity, Islam, Judaism, Mormons, other cults, even Hindu. They...

Sounds like some of the strikes on Isfahanz were aimed at destroying the HEU stockpiles. As far as repositioning, every bird in the sky and on...

I have no doubt those people exist, but they are not the dominant force making that theology national primary policy. Anyway, I hope the B2 crews...

I bet the jamming was to keep the Chinese from seeing. They moved spy ships into the area. Now, let's tell Putin that the time has come for his...

Remember in Apr 1988 we sank the Ayatollahs navy in 8 hours. Then we stopped. No invasions or occupations. And the Iranians stopped mining the Gulf....

US bombs the nuclear sites at Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahanz Nimitz CSG joins Carl Vinson CSG in the CENTCOM AOR adding its air wing and 5...

If years ago, someone said bin Laden was a radical religious monster who needed to be put down, the mindset exhibited by some here would be "what...

You think the US government is on par with Iran for religious insanity? You think a raw number of churches per ME country carries some meaning? There...

The USAF is being intentionally obvious about our movement of MOP armed B-2s because they are confident enough in their safety that the government is...

Believe it or not, that is where you do need on-the-ground intelligence, HUMINT to go with your ELINT/SIGINT/IMINT. Those sites are some of the most...

Fair enough if you have low confidence in the CIA over their errors of 20 years ago from which you assume they did not improve. They did insist that...