Ukraine

[summit]

Good stirep with maps of troop movement:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...312789508.html

Concerning potential encirclements of Ukrainian forces from Russian/Belarussian advances E of Kyiv.



Ukranians are demoing more bridges and some irrigation dikes to flood areas in front of the Russian advance.

Ukraine is hard to defend with no real natural defensive lines except the Dnieper River. Luckily for Ukraine, it is mud season, so almost all Russian advances are along roads with little movement across the countryside.

[subtle plague]

I don't know whether it's been covered, but ukraine Was open to neutrality in a German TV Interview yesterday evening. (Some ukrainian official.)
But Putin does not want presidential negotiations and a cease fire.

The ukraonian guy hopes for a breakthrough with the foreign Minister Meeting.

Ukraine just wants hard guarantees for the Status because you know Putin is well known to be an honest Partner

[bluespark]

More chump treason/incompetence. Quelle Surprise

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...edgdhp&pc=U531

[Lvovsky]

…
I remember reading an article about the artillery bombardments in Lukhansk or Donetsk in 2018 and being shocked fighting was still going on. At a distance it's easy to forget, or lose track, or just not know about conflicts, and to forget about the normal people who end up trying to live through and around them.

Since 2014, UN offered to bring piece keepers i to the Donbas region eleven times. Some at request od Ukrainian government. Some on their own UN insensitive. All eleven offers were rejected by moscow and moscow puppets in donbas.

[Timberridge]

Maybe I've been watching too many Youtube video's about Russians, but I get the sense if Ukrainians just leave cases of vodka along all the roads and reverse all the street signs showing which way to Kiyv, this thing could be over quickly.

[Bunion 2020]

I expect it to escalate. Not some bold prediction, either it will or it won't. Seems more likely to get worse than better in the near to medium term, to me. FWIW

If Putin doesn't get his way and remains alive this is a pretty solid prediction.

[Yukonrider]

Good stirep with maps of troop movement:

Very good and seemingly objective read on the situation on the ground. Good share.

[MontuckyFried]

Maybe I've been watching too many Youtube video's about Russians, but I get the sense if Ukrainians just leave cases of vodka along all the roads and reverse all the street signs showing which way to Kiyv, this thing could be over quickly.

Sounds straight out of Looney Tunes. It's so crazy, it just might work. I love it!

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[frorider]

All these reports of mud by bogging down the Russians…the silver lining of having the Olympics hosted by the Chinese.

Maybe I need to start looking at weather forecasts there.

[SumJongGuy]

All these reports of mud by bogging down the Russians…the silver lining of having the Olympics hosted by the Chinese.

Maybe I need to start looking at weather forecasts there.

That thaw is why we were so sure they would go when they did. Imagine if that muddy swamp makes it really difficult for them to support their forces already there and leaves them trapped, unable to pull back if Ukraine gets the upper hand??

[ex-powderbroker]

More chump treason/incompetence. Quelle Surprise

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...edgdhp&pc=U531

Wow, that's on par with removing Obama's pandemic response team in China.

[Pow4Brains]

That thaw is why we were so sure they would go when they did. Imagine if that muddy swamp makes it really difficult for them to support their forces already there and leaves them trapped, unable to pull back if Ukraine gets the upper hand??

Isn’t this what happened to the Russians during World War II in addition to freezing to death?


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[This End Up]

This fertilizer shortage and price hike will effect food prices for a long time, even if Putin pulled back today.

Fertilizer giant Yara slashes production in Europe https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/09/busin...ara/index.html

[This End Up]

I expect it to escalate. Not some bold prediction, either it will or it won't. Seems more likely to get worse than better in the near to medium term, to me. FWIW

More escalation doom and gloom, from the economist.

https://youtu.be/2s13sOvSTgA

[Timberridge]

All these reports of mud

It's why VT would never fear an invasion in late March or early April.

[Mazderati]

Wondering if there will be some kind of coordinated OPEC retaliation given reports of SAU and UAE passing on calls with Biden.

[frorider]

Isn’t this what happened to the Russians during World War II in addition to freezing to death?


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Yes, if you meant to say the Germans invading Russia.

[TBS]

Apparently we've got 100K troops in thre ground in Europe.

Newspaper sez Biden just sent more.

Assuming that’s correct, our troop numbers in Europe have increased by 20k since 2020
https://www.nationalguard.mil/News/A...aving-ukraine/

[AK47bp]

That thaw is why we were so sure they would go when they did. Imagine if that muddy swamp makes it really difficult for them to support their forces already there and leaves them trapped, unable to pull back if Ukraine gets the upper hand??

Sounds like a cold snap is bearing down on the area, down to below 0 Fahrenheit.

The ground will harden but those convoys will burn more fuel to stay alive.


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[garyfromterrace]

It's why VT would never fear an invasion in late March or early April.

People rest easy in Terrace in early to mid May for the same reason.

On another note, that video piece a few posts ago by the Economist was sobering but good.

[ötzi]

More escalation doom and gloom, from the economist.

https://youtu.be/2s13sOvSTgA

Thanks. Pretty much right in line with my thoughts. imo Putin clearly needs to get dead, pronto. At any cost. I don't say that flippantly. At any cost.

[Adolf Allerbush]

International Atomic Energy Agency has lost contact with Chernobyl.

Thanks. Pretty much right in line with my thoughts. imo Putin clearly needs to get dead, pronto. At any cost. I don't say that flippantly. At any cost.

It sounds like the clock is ticking on how long backup power can keep things "safe" at Chernobyl...what I read was 48 hours of backup power. If Russia causes a nuclear plant to meltdown is that not a reason to commit NATO forces? I get that Russia is downwind of it but sometimes weather changes and regardless if I'm in Europe or not I don't want the Russian's trying to contain such a situation. To that end, yes Putin needs to stop breathing.

[Kinnikinnick]

This fertilizer shortage and price hike will effect food prices for a long time, even if Putin pulled back today.

Fertilizer giant Yara slashes production in Europe https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/09/busin...ara/index.html

No worries.

We have an endless supply of bullshit, the GOP


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[Benny Profane]

Logistics

[oldnew_guy]

It sounds like the clock is ticking on how long backup power can keep things "safe" at Chernobyl...what I read was 48 hours of backup power. If Russia causes a nuclear plant to meltdown is that not a reason to commit NATO forces? I get that Russia is downwind of it but sometimes weather changes and regardless if I'm in Europe or not I don't want the Russian's trying to contain such a situation. To that end, yes Putin needs to stop breathing.

Why would backup power be off? Didn’t they just cut the data feed to the IAEA?