Results 176 to 179 of 179
03-26-2013, 06:34 PM #176
the snow piled up in the pnw.
bFit just doesn't add up?
03-26-2013, 11:20 PM #177
I'm guessing your forecast for this season's total snow is right on, but as the saying goes.;;Lies, damn lies, and statistics....Seems like Steamboat and Vail tallies are off by almost 100".
03-27-2013, 06:40 AM #178
Mediocre season as far as pow days but I've seen much worse overall conditions. Ghee still has a 48-100" base off of only 360"ytd, which is actually a minor miracle in itself. I can think of three or four drought winters where a 360" season meant a late, rocky start and then a rotting snowpack by April, neither of which happened this year. Still, other than the really quick start to the season, not much else has been very memorable. One excellent 50" week in late January was the only "epic" so far. 25 more days left for the ghee to get over the 400" hump.
Last edited by neckdeep; 03-27-2013 at 10:11 AM.I have come for you my child and the gift I bring is murder.
God won't hear your prayer, he's listening to SLAYER!
05-10-2013, 11:55 PM #179
EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society
9 May 2013
ENSO Alert System
neutral is favored into the late Northern Hemisphere summer 2013.
During April 2013,
, with near
average sea surface temperatures (SSTs)
observed across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and below average
SSTs confined to the far eastern
The Niño indices were near zero throughout the month, except for the
Niño1+2 region which was
The oceanic heat content
temperature in the upper 300
remained near average during April
(Fig. 3), reflecting near
average subsurface temperatures
at depth across most of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific
The tropical low
level easterly winds remained slightly enhanced over
the western half of the Pacific
basin, and anomalous upper
level westerly winds prevailed across much of the equatorial Pacific
Tropical convection was enhanced over Indonesia and the western Pacific and suppressed over the central
ectively, these conditions indicate the continuation of ENSO
Most models forecast
3.4 SSTs to remain ENSO
into the Northern Hemisphere
, with dynamical models tending to predict warmer conditions (
statistical models (
0.7°C to 0°C)
There is still low confidence in the forecasts for the latter half of the
year, partly because of the so
called “spring barrier,” which historically leads to lower model skill for
forecasts made between March and
May. Forecast confidence will increase over the next few months.
The current forecast indicates that
will likely continue
into the second half of the Northern
CPC/IRI consensus forecast