Sunday into Monday
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wOOt wOOt!
Git some!
Is it too early to get excited? Nahhh....
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
200 PM EST WED DEC 15 2004
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
.
.
.
.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THIS FAST MOVING SYSTEM FRIDAY
NIGHT. SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT LOOKS PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME HIGHER CLOUDS BUT DRY WEATHER.
THE BIG ISSUE WILL BE THE EVOLVING SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. ON SUNDAY A SYSTEM NEAR THE GREAT LAKES BEGINS TO AFFECT NORTHERN NY AND VT...AND A LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER WV. THE WV SYSTEM BECOMES THE DOMINANT FEATURE BY MONDAY AS IT INTENSIFIES INTO A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM. DPROG/DT OF GFS AND ENSEMBLE INFO STILL SHOW A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK...SO WILL KEEP AREA UNDER A CHANCE OF SNOW/SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF SNOW OVER NORTHERN NY LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. CHANCE OF SNOW SLOWLY DECREASES AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.
HELLL YEEEEAAAAHHH.
Fingers crossed
http://sirocco.accuweather.com/iwxpa...popup/iws2.jpg
Looks like Plattekill and southern VT (Magic) :biggrin: are gonna get tagged. Hey, and watch out for those high fuel bills.
(Anti-Jinx) As you can tell from the cartoonish depiction of the Nor'easter, this is just a bad attempt by the oil industry to raise prices before Christmas.
I have it from good sources that it will be 50 and sunny from now until Memorial Day.
It will not snow at all, there is no storm, I will not be skiing all next week.
Man, that looks like a tropical storm to me. I'm busting out the flip flops and surf trunks.
http://www.chauvinguides.com/IceCond...-15-04-034.jpg
http://www.chauvinguides.com/IceCond...-15-04-033.jpg
These are on the Auto Road Winter Cutoff, anyone ever ski it? I've never heard it mentioned. Looks tasty though, hopefully this weekend will help things.
http://www.chauvinguides.com/IceCond.../WashDec14.jpg
edit: hmm, it didnt exactly like that...
>>These are on the Auto Road Winter Cutoff, anyone ever ski it?
No, but it looks kind of special. You headed up there?
Quote:
Originally Posted by milton
I'm considering it, I wonder if I can swing tomorrow. milton?
love this shot!
http://www.chauvinguides.com/IceCond.../WashDec14.jpg
this storm is going to miss the mid-Atlantic except for the western portions of the Allegheny mountains, therefore, the north east is only going to see modest snow gains from this event, will not be your typical nor’easter, sorry to tell you
I'm sure there's a correlation between the winged dough and fluctuations in the daily pain index.
no can do, mon and tues are my weekend this winter.Quote:
Originally Posted by CantDog
Looks like a southern NE. event. Anyone have a forecast for Mad River and North?
I think the computer models are showing the storm developing further off shore now..pfft what do the computers know.
.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
NO CHANGES MADE TO EXTENDED PORTIONS OF FCST AT THIS TIME. CHC OF LT SNOW OR SHSN LOOKS REASONABLE SUN NT INTO MON AREA WIDE AS NORTHERLY FLOW AND AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH MOVE ACROSS AREA. LATEST OPERATIONAL SOLNS...INCLUDING THE 00Z GFS/CANADIAN/ECMWF ARE ALL NOW FAVORING A MORE PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH...AND A MORE OFFSHORE SOLN INVOF OR OUTSIDE THE 40N/-70W BENCHMARK IN REGARDS TO CYCLOGENESIS AND ASSOC SFC LOW LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY TIME FRAME. THIS WOULD SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER ANY THREAT OF MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACROSS VT/N NY DURING THESE PERIODS. NONETHELESS...PLENTY OF TIME TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS HERE IN REGARDS TO EVOLUTION OF SENSIBLE WX PATTERN.
I AM A ROBOT. DO WHAT I SAY.Quote:
Originally Posted by milton
I AM A WASHING MACHINE. DO WHAT I SAY.
I've got tuesdays off, let me know if you want to tour sometime.Quote:
Originally Posted by milton
Of course, they're downgrading the storm now. Still hoping for a Plattekill hit though.
http://sirocco.accuweather.com/iwxpa...popup/iws2.jpg
right on. i'll probably be at the glen on tues if you want to check it out. Did a few work days this summer :cool:Quote:
Originally Posted by CantDog
hmmm, do need to pick up the mad card....
how was it today?
plattekill hmm? my mom patrols there and i'll probably be going the day after xmas. please keep updating this so i know whether or not i should bother bringing my own skis back home.
Looking like the Berkshires could get hit pretty hard, hmmmm :p
anyone know what Magic's doing or if its going to be in the path of the storm? The Mini animal has his first dramatic performance on Sunday(portraying the role of Baby Jesus) so Magic is as far as I'm gonna be able to go